New Delhi: The agreement reached between India and China on the situation arising on the Line of Actual Control (LAC) is a very small step towards resolving the dispute and tension that has been going on for years, but it should be welcomed, because the tension on the LAC, including Ladakh, was at such a level that it could take an explosive form at any time, as the armies of the two countries were standing face to face at many places. In such a situation, there is a high possibility that a clash between the armies may occur at any time, which may take the form of a major conflict.

If the tension reduces, it will be a good thing for both India and China. India has already said that it does not want a war with China or a situation that may lead to war. On the other hand, China wanted to push India back and intimidate it.

However, in the current scenario, China also does not want to create a situation where a war with India may arise. Apart from this, two-three things were bothering China.

First: The derailing economy bowed down

China's performance on the economic front has been weak for some time now. China does not want that at a time when it has to make efforts to bring its economy back on track, there should be tension on the border with India, because this was also affecting the economic relations between China and India.

However, despite the tension, trade between the two countries has increased but after the clash between the armies in Galwan, it is no longer easy for Chinese companies to do business in India.

Apart from this, it has become difficult for Chinese companies to invest in India. This has happened due to the tough stand of the Indian government. Obviously, China clearly saw that economic relations with India cannot flourish amid the tension on the border.

Second: Europe and America increased tariffs

America and Europe are the biggest markets for Chinese products. Strictness is increasing regarding Chinese products in America and Europe. Tariffs on Chinese products are also being increased.

So far, India does not have the same importance in China's economy as America and Europe. Even though the trade between India and China is more than $100 billion, if we talk about China's top 10 trade partners, our place comes just after the top 10.

Now if big trading partners are putting restrictions on you and there is tension in trade relations with these countries, then you would not want a big market like India, where there is a huge demand for Chinese products, to be affected. This is also a reason.

Third: Fear of joining the camp of Western countries

There has been a rift between India and Western countries on the issue of Khalistan. In such a situation, China feels that it would be in its interest if India does not lean too much towards Western countries. However, India's policy from the beginning has been that it does not belong to any camp and builds relations with everyone.

The Chinese government thinks that so much pressure should not be put on India that it is forced to go towards the camp of America and Western countries. If this happens, it will not be in the interest of China.

Trusting China is a big mistake!

This does not mean that China is moving towards resolving the border tension with India. If someone thinks that China will go back to the situation before April 2020 on the border, then I doubt it. There are many reasons for this.

The first thing is that India considers what China did in Ladakh as a betrayal. The reason for this is that China did not care about the agreements made after 1990. In such a situation, India also deployed troops on the border. If China brought missiles, India also deployed missiles. When China deployed 50,000 soldiers, we also deployed the same number of troops there.

This betrayal of China can be compared to the Kargil war. Earlier, the armies of Pakistan and India used to vacate their posts in the cold season. And there was an agreement that no one would occupy each other's posts, but Kargil ended this trust. Now the Indian army remains deployed at the posts in every season.

The same can happen on the border with China, because it will not be easy for India to trust China now. One positive outcome of this can be that the LAC between the two countries may be fixed. Since the LAC between India and China is not fixed yet, but if the armies remain deployed, then both the countries can accept the current LAC with some changes.

Resolution of border dispute is a complex issue, hence reaching a consensus on LAC between the two countries could be a way to move bilateral relations forward.