New Delhi: This year India experienced intense heat and heavy rains broke many records. The rains also caused a lot of destruction in many states. Flood-like conditions arose in many places from the mountains to the plains. On Thursday, while the India Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted more rain in the coming days, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) has issued a forecast for this winter.

Severe cold in northern parts

Scientists of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) say that the effect of La Nina will be 60 percent by the end of this year. Due to this, not only will there be severe cold in the northern parts this year, but the duration of cold will also be longer. When La Nina develops, the temperature of the surface of the Pacific Ocean decreases. When the surface temperature is low, the cold will also be more.

Increasing impact of La Nina

The latest update of the World Meteorological Organization on Wednesday shows that the effect of La Nina is likely to be up to 55 percent during September-November 2024. Whereas from October 2024 to February 2025, this possibility will increase to 60 percent. Due to the increasing effect of La Nina, there is severe cold in North India. Therefore, this year North India may experience colder than normal.

dependent on climate change

However, the India Meteorological Department has not yet confirmed whether La Nina conditions will lead to a colder-than-normal winter. The effects of each La Nina event vary depending on its intensity, duration, time of year. However, naturally occurring climate phenomena like La Nina and El Nino are dependent on climate change.

9 years are the hottest ever

WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo said that since June 2023, we have seen a pattern of increasing temperatures (land and sea). Even if there is a short-term cool down, it cannot reduce the long-term impact of rising global temperatures due to greenhouse gases that trap heat in the atmosphere. Despite the effect of La Nina cooling the sea surface from 2020 to early 2023, the last 9 years have been the warmest ever.