Global Market Cues: Nifty Set for Flat-to-Green Start as US Tech Rallies Amid Fed Rate Shock
International trading bourses are flashing mixed yet supportive cues for Indian benchmark indices heading into Friday morning's opening bell. Early positioning indicates that domestic equities on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) are likely to kick off Friday's trade on a steady footing, with GIFT Nifty futures hinting at an opening near unchanged levels with a mild 10-point upward bias. Overnight action across the Atlantic provided substantial tailwinds as major Wall Street benchmarks staged a strong counter-rally, supported by retreating US Treasury yields and softening international crude benchmarks. However, the gains remain tempered by heightened geopolitical rhetoric emerging from Washington concerning potential escalation in the ongoing Middle East conflict.
Wall Street Stages Strong Recovery as US Yields Soften Post-Fed Hike
United States equity benchmarks mounted an aggressive rebound on Thursday, shaking off the immediate sell-off triggered by the Federal Reserve's decision to hike interest rates by 25 basis points into a 3.75% to 4% target corridor—marking the central bank's first rate increase since 2023. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.6% to settle at 51,778, while the broad-based S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 7,637.76. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite led gains, surging 1.7% to finish at 26,418.30. Equities sensitive to capital costs found immediate relief as the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield pulled back toward 4.93%, reassuring equity desks that financial conditions are stabilizing as investors pivot attention toward structural corporate earnings, domestic inflation metrics, and fundamental macroeconomic resilience.
Tech Stocks Power Rally on Jensen Huang's Bold Demand Outlook
Semiconductor and big tech counters spearheaded the Wall Street bounce, buoyed by bullish commentary from Nvidia Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang. The semiconductor leader projected that company chip shipments could double over the next calendar year, citing relentless enterprise demand and global industrial adoption of generative AI systems. The upbeat projection ignited heavy buying across hardware and software majors: Intel led the pack with a 7.7% surge, while Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) advanced 6.5%. Specialized connectivity designer Qualcomm rose 2.1%, Nvidia gained 2.5%, Microsoft climbed 1.5%, and Apple closed 1.4% higher, setting a strong risk-on precedent for technology desks worldwide.
Crude Drops for Third Day but Donald Trump's Iran Warning Stems Declines
International energy contracts registered their third consecutive daily retreat, though pricing remains stubbornly perched above triple-digit thresholds. Brent crude benchmark futures traded in the $102 to $104 per barrel corridor, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) held close to the critical $100 mark. While cheaper oil prices provide temporary relief for inflation-sensitive emerging markets like India, headline risks remain acute following remarks by US President Donald Trump indicating that Washington is weighing whether to execute additional large-scale military actions against Iran. The prospect of renewed kinetic strikes against Persian Gulf infrastructure continues to inject high-implied volatility into global commodity desks.
Global Central Banks in Focus: BoE Holds Steady as Markets Await Bank of Japan
Monetary policy decisions across Europe and Asia continue to dictate global sovereign debt trends. The Bank of England (BoE) maintained its primary policy rate unchanged at 3.75% via a 6-3 Monetary Policy Committee vote, while cautioning that prolonged Middle Eastern conflict could reignite imported energy inflation and necessitate further tightening. In a decisive quantitative adjustment, the BoE also halted long-term gilt sales for the next six months, triggering a steep drop in UK long-term bond yields. Across the Pacific, Asian equity markets have fixed their attention on the Bank of Japan's rate decision, where traders have priced in a potential 25-basis-point tightening move, leaving investors laser-focused on Governor guidance regarding currency stability and regional liquidity.