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News Topical, Digital Desk : Investing in the stock market isn't everyone's cup of tea. It tests a great deal of patience. When the market remains sluggish or "flat" for an extended period, investors' morale can begin to wane. However, looking at Nifty's historical data, an 18-month lull often leads to a significant rally. This proves that patience truly pays off in the market.

Looking at data from 2000 to 2026, investors have seen excellent returns in subsequent years whenever the Nifty has remained stable or flat for an 18-month period (18M). The average return during this consolidation period was -0.8% and the median return was -1.3%, which may seem disappointing at first glance.

But the real magic happens after that. According to data , in the 12 months immediately following this 18-month lull, the Nifty delivered a robust average return of 29.8%. Furthermore, over the next 36 months, or three years, this average return increased to an impressive 81.7%. Looking back in history, the market slowdown between 2001 and 2003 was followed by a massive return of up to 247% in the next three years.

The most recent data point, from August 31, 2024, to January 31, 2026, recorded an 18-month return of -0.3%. This could indicate that we are currently undergoing another similar consolidation period, which could be followed by a significant jump.


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